What is a falsification plan?

A list of experiments that could show a hypothesis is wrong, ranked by cost and by how decisive each result would be.

Why look for the test that could prove us wrong?

A hypothesis that survives a serious attempt to break it is worth more than one that has only been confirmed, and the cheapest decisive test saves budget for the ideas that survive.

What happens to hypotheses that fail?

They stay on record with the result that ruled them out, so the team does not test them again.

AI hypothesis testing

Use case · Hypothesis testing

Conjecture turns a hypothesis into a ranked list of experiments that could falsify it.

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Where it helps

Falsification plans

Experiments ordered by cost and how decisive they are.

Prior evidence

What existing papers already say about the hypothesis.

Result logging

Outcomes recorded against the hypothesis they tested.

Example

A short example of the kind of trace this work produces.

Research · Hypothesis

Question

Does the new catalyst work because of its surface area?

Illustrative example, not live model output.

How we help

Conjecture

A research partner that tries to prove itself wrong

Product · For research teams →

Questions

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A list of experiments that could show a hypothesis is wrong, ranked by cost and by how decisive each result would be.

Illustrative scenario · Research

A mathematics group checks proofs before submission

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The cheapest test that could prove you wrong

What we work on

Falsification plans

Prior evidence

Result logging

See the reasoning

Apps and services

Conjecture

Hypothesis testing: common questions